Blog Archives

Winning the QMJHL Draft with Advanced Predictive Modeling

Can a numbers-based approach outdraft QMJHL teams? I spent the last year trying to build an advanced predictive model to see if this was possible. As a test, I did a re-draft of the 2013 draft, since the majority of those players finished their QMJHL careers this season. Using exclusively information that was available before the draft and without taking into consideration any subjective factors (scouting, interviews, team needs, etc.), my model outdrafted every single team in the 2013 draft in terms of drafted player value (APV)

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Posted in APV Analysis, Draft Analysis

Assessing the Third Round Matchups in the 2017 Playoffs

The 2017 QMJHL playoff semi-finals begin tonight as the quest for the President’s Cup has been narrowed down to four teams. The 2nd round featured two sweeps as well as two 7-game series.

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Posted in SRS Analysis
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