Blog Archives

Introducing APV – A Single-number Player Evaluation Metric

APV scores go from 0 (negligible positive value) to close to 1000, with the league average being 100. Any player with a score above 100 is generally considered “above average”, and less than 100 “below average”.

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Posted in APV Analysis

Assessing the Final Round of the 2017 Playoffs

The final round of the QMJHL playoffs begins tonight with the top seeded Saint John Sea Dogs facing off against the Blainville-Boisbriand Armada. The Sea Dogs finished 1st in the regular season as well as 1st in my SRS rankings. On the other hand, the Armada finished 5th in the regular season and 5th in my SRS rankings. Despite this gap, it should be a very close final

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Posted in Draft Analysis, SRS Analysis

Assessing the Third Round Matchups in the 2017 Playoffs

The 2017 QMJHL playoff semi-finals begin tonight as the quest for the President’s Cup has been narrowed down to four teams. The 2nd round featured two sweeps as well as two 7-game series.

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Posted in SRS Analysis

Assessing the Second Round Matchups in the 2017 Playoffs

The 2nd round of the 2017 QMJHL playoffs begins tomorrow and with it will come much more competitive matchups. The 1st round featured 5 sweeps and only one game 7, but the 2nd round should offer some thrilling series. My 1st round predictions went 7 for 8, with 6 series being predicted in the correct “competitiveness tier”.

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Posted in SRS Analysis

Assessing the First Round Matchups in the 2017 Playoffs

Historically, the first round of the QMJHL playoffs have featured some very lopsided results, along with the occasional upset. This year’s matchups, according to my SRS team rankings, all give the top seed a noted advantage. However, the differences between

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Posted in SRS Analysis

Predicting the QMJHL playoff champion using SRS

The Saint John Sea Dogs and their league leading post-deadline SRS of 2.56 have a strong chance of being crowned President’s Cup champions this year. But if an upset where to happen, look for the Charlottetown Islanders to win for the first time in club history with their post-deadline SRS of 2.39.

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Posted in SRS Analysis
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